Economical Analysis
Forex traders need to keep an eye on fundamental data according to economy such as interest rates, central bank policies and other economic data.
Fundamental analysis is needed more for long-term trading. Fundamentals might indicate the future course a currency is likely to take.
Every country has a central bank. The central banks that govern the majors are: US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia and Swiss National Bank.
The central bank are not focused solely on currency values and setting interest rates, their responsibilities are much more complex than that. They are looking for balance standard in their economy: Not too hot, not too cold, but just right recessions or depressions and inflation or deflation.
Economic
Indicators ***
FOMC
Non-Farm Payrolls
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
The Producer Price Index (PPI)
Employment Indicators
Consumer Confidence Index
Beige Book
Retail Sales Index
Durable Goods Orders
Employment Cost Index (ECI)
The Productivity Report
Unemployment Rate
Factory Orders
Current Account (Balance of Payments)
Initial Claims (Jobless Claims)
Tankan Surve
ZEW Survey
NAPM
Personal Consumption / Expenditures (Personal Spending)
Personal Income
Capacity Utilisation
University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index
Philadelphia Fed Index
Chicago PMI Index
Fundamental Analysis
One of the most important components of successful trading is fundamental analysis. This method of predicting future trading trends involves examining the economic factors shaping the markets, such as gross domestic product, other production figures, inflation, employment rate and unemployment levels. Through understanding these factors, traders can get an idea of which assets are more likely to succeed, as these external forces can have significant effects on the direction a currency or asset is likely to take.
Fundamental analysis is a method of forecasting the direction of a currency pair based on the economic health of its corresponding countries. By examining the economic data of each country, the forex trader can determine the relative strength of each currency and make an informed decision on which currency will be the most profitable to invest in.
Forex fundamental analysis is important for traders who wish to remain informed about the economic health of the countries whose currencies make up the currency pairs they trade.
Economic data can help traders anticipate changes in the exchange rate, understand underlying trends, and identify high-probability trading opportunities. Knowing the health of the underlying economy can also help traders determine the timing of when to enter or exit a position, as well as helping them decide on the size of their individual transactions.
